What is left to play for on the final day of the Premier League season?

July 24, 2020
What is left to play for on the final day of the Premier League season?

Premier League status, European places, the Golden Boot, an assists record, and some cold, hard cash… here’s what’s left to play for on the final day of the Premier League season on Sunday.

Where can teams finish?

First up, where can each team finish? The graphic below reveals the best and worst scenarios for every club and the extent of what’s at stake on the final day.

The blue bars reveal probabilities of finishing in each position, according to an algorithm based on expected goals by data guru Ben Mayhew.

Who will join Norwich back in the Sky Bet Championship? Aston Villa have taken a big step towards safety but it is not settled yet ahead of the final round of Premier League fixtures.

The situation is rather tight and complicated: Villa are 17th with 34 points (GD -26), Watford are 18th with 34 points (GD -27) and Bournemouth are 19th with 31 points (GD -27). On the final day, Villa go to West Ham, Watford are at Arsenal, and Bournemouth go to Everton.

There are countless scenarios among the three games, best explained here.

Champions League qualification

It’s been a topsy-turvy top-four race, and it all comes to a head from 4pm on Sunday. Three sides, two places up for grabs.

Manchester United only require a draw with Leicester on the final day to finish in the top four, and Chelsea need just one more Premier League point to secure a top-four place against Wolves at home. Both games are live on Sky Sports.

Leicester must beat United on the final day to finish in the Champions League spot, which seemed a given just months ago.

If they fail to do so, they will still qualify for the Europa League group stage, with Wolves’ goal difference effectively meaning the Foxes cannot be caught by Nuno’s side.

Source: https://www.skysports.com